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Nov 4, 2012
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they will do better than john mccain. we may not do as well as we did in 2008 but we doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >>chris: on florida, president obama is down by more than a point in the polls but you make the final advertising by the campaign there in florida, why not in the state you must win? >> we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been many polls and in all of the polls, the battleground state polls in the last 48 hours we are ahead in 90 percent including florida. there are a couple of mixed polls in florida but we are very pleased with where we are in early voting. we will go in election day with a large leap so we are competitive in florida and they know it. they are spending the time there. if they were comfortable in florida they would not spend as much time and money as they are spending. >>chris: when will we know who the next president is? will it come sooner than expected? or will this stretch into wednesday morning? >>guest: i think some of the cases are very clo
they will do better than john mccain. we may not do as well as we did in 2008 but we doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >>chris: on florida, president obama is down by more than a point in the polls but you make the final advertising by the campaign there in florida, why not in the state you must win? >> we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been many polls and in all of the polls, the battleground state polls in the last 48 hours we are ahead...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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WMAR
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john kerry would have won ohio, lost the popular vote. those signs, ohio state is a state like pennsylvania, the dynamics of ohio are now moving to a place where it's no longer quote, unquote a reliable republican state. it's moving in a direction, much more akin to pennsylvania than the other states. >> the electoral college does shift. people complain, new york is not in play. california is not in play. but the truth is, it does shift and so the different states rise up in different elections and become the focus of elections. it really does make it an election where the whole country has to be paid attention to. >> only two democrats have reached 50% of the vote in ohio since 1940. ohio xem plies the paradox of how this is unfolding. 32% among noncollege white men and women nationally in our abc tracking poll through the whole run. in ohio he's ten points better among both of those groups. >> the bain story, the bain story has a culture and emotion emotional resonance in the midwest. ohio, the idea of the rich guy coming to town, shutt
john kerry would have won ohio, lost the popular vote. those signs, ohio state is a state like pennsylvania, the dynamics of ohio are now moving to a place where it's no longer quote, unquote a reliable republican state. it's moving in a direction, much more akin to pennsylvania than the other states. >> the electoral college does shift. people complain, new york is not in play. california is not in play. but the truth is, it does shift and so the different states rise up in different...
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Nov 4, 2012
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this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close. >> yeah. >> let's stick in the red states. nebraska. >> it tightened up, fisher wins. >> bob kerry keeps it under ten. >> missouri? >> mccaskill wins. it's like philadelphia in the east, pittsburgh in the west and alabama in between. kansas city, st. louis and alabama in between. >> indiana? >> close but i think donnelly edges, which again obama is going to lose a state, but donnelly i think will win. but it will be very competitive. >> you know, we skipped one of the big swing ones, wisconsin. what's going to be closer, wisconsin or virginia? >> i have you silent. i have you silent. is wisconsin that close? who would you put on tammy or tommy? >> i think i would go edge to tommy but very close. >> you don't even know what the makeup we've made here. >> maine, massachusetts, connecticut. does anything go
this guy john tester up a point or two and the question is does that save him? let's do edge tester. >> all right. next one? north dakota right next door. >> berg wins. it's very very close. >> the same way you feel about montana. >> yeah. >> not quite as close. >> yeah. >> let's stick in the red states. nebraska. >> it tightened up, fisher wins. >> bob kerry keeps it under ten. >> missouri? >> mccaskill wins. it's like...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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barack obama had 53% to john mccain's 43%. what does it tell you? for weeks we have been hearing the media paint a storyline while obama is ahead in early voting. now we know that isn't true. particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney leads the likely voters by five points. he won bison overall. if you look at the same panorama, it's all over. >> bob: in reality, you talk about the final vote in 2008 versus a week left to go to vote. people who vote early. you have to separate absenteeism from early voting. two separate things. people who vote early are senior citizens and they normally do. >> andrea: who leads with senior citizens? mitt romney leads. >> bob: right. >> andrea: independent and women. 3-point turnout advantage this time around swayed ten points to -- >> bob: you are taking something on elect
barack obama had 53% to john mccain's 43%. what does it tell you? for weeks we have been hearing the media paint a storyline while obama is ahead in early voting. now we know that isn't true. particularly in states like ohio, florida, ohio -- >> dana: nevada. >> andrea: same thing, nevada. ohio fewer dems voted in ohio compared to 2008. 30,000 more republicans have voted. if obama had that lead with mccain and long at 2008, but only led by three points with likely voters romney...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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john sady lives along the shore and he shot this cell phone video of the aftermath. take a look. >> that's the boardwalk two blocks in on central avenue. and that's where the boardwalk was on the ocean. >> and john is on the phone with us this morning. he's a business owner in seaside heights, new jersey, and lives in toms river. john, i was in your area this week. i'm so sorry for what you all are dealing with there. are the conditions any better now this morning for you? >> they're mixed. they're mixed. we are really happy with the response from the governor with the electoral department. we had people from alabama, atlanta, three tractor trailer loads, telephone polls went over thursday. that response has been outstanding. however, it's been a little slow, i would say, in the search for door-to-door to help some of these people. that has been a little bit embarrassing to the government. >> right after the storm actually happened, though, and came through there. you took in five local families. a lot of people had no where to go. where are those people now? are the
john sady lives along the shore and he shot this cell phone video of the aftermath. take a look. >> that's the boardwalk two blocks in on central avenue. and that's where the boardwalk was on the ocean. >> and john is on the phone with us this morning. he's a business owner in seaside heights, new jersey, and lives in toms river. john, i was in your area this week. i'm so sorry for what you all are dealing with there. are the conditions any better now this morning for you? >>...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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WJLA
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john gonzales, abc 7 news. >> we are all in developing stories in stafford. massive manhunt in for a man responsible for bomb attacks. >> the man that people are for -- a number of across different states here innce stewart 25, areford investigators collaborating with a number of people to locate him quickly as possible. responsible he is several pipe bomb attacks. heavily armed agents are pulling near the mobile home that believed to be booby trapped. he is accused of bombing homes in stafford. of his former fiancee. is said to be armed and dangerous. they believe he may be driving a for a whiteaccent, nissan altima. they are checking pennsylvania ohio. something isy know asked to call police. brianne carter, abc 7 news. >> police say three people were night after a fight broke out on hollywood boulevard. one victim critically hurt. police officers, some in riot gear, came into the area and control the crowd. word on what sparked the shooting. >> 6:36. degrees. teacher has a classroom full of a bouncing studen >> getting a 7-year-old student still can be tou
john gonzales, abc 7 news. >> we are all in developing stories in stafford. massive manhunt in for a man responsible for bomb attacks. >> the man that people are for -- a number of across different states here innce stewart 25, areford investigators collaborating with a number of people to locate him quickly as possible. responsible he is several pipe bomb attacks. heavily armed agents are pulling near the mobile home that believed to be booby trapped. he is accused of bombing homes...
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Nov 3, 2012
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these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican ca
these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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john mccain. john kasich the governor, senator portman, senator graham. republicans from all over the country. they are all going to leave here and fan out over the country in support of mitt romney. i will be in wisconsin tomorrow. florida the next day. maybe pennsylvania. they are going to probably decide that as we move along. but the idea was all of the supporters here tonight supporting mitt romney and paul ryan and starting tomorrow morning they will all be in the different parts of the country probably mostly in the swing states. >> greta: is there any way to when he sure, ohio tonight? i know that everyone on the republican side says governor romney is going to win and everybody on president obama's side says he is going to win. how do you measure it tonigh >> i mean you know obviously, i guess an obama rally you would feel differently. at this rally it seems like he has enormous enthusiasm. this has the feeling of a winning campaign. the enthusiasm here tonight was tremendous. if this s a is swing state i feel good about it even if the polls abou
john mccain. john kasich the governor, senator portman, senator graham. republicans from all over the country. they are all going to leave here and fan out over the country in support of mitt romney. i will be in wisconsin tomorrow. florida the next day. maybe pennsylvania. they are going to probably decide that as we move along. but the idea was all of the supporters here tonight supporting mitt romney and paul ryan and starting tomorrow morning they will all be in the different parts of the...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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or 5,000 and obama camp said he could only do, james john mccain, because e could not get the large event of people that senator obama could, and in the final weekend in cleveland, then senator obama had 80,000 people in cleveland. he is not getting anything near that in the final weekend. he had a rally in florida with a singer trying to get celebrity appeal with 20,000 people. there is a large group here still gathering and he will be here in a couple of hours in cincinnati. the ultimate rockstar is bill clinton in a chilly new hampshire city with 14,000. we have seen president obama adapt the clinton economic plan, the balanced approach in terms of deficits. and today he employed the anthem of bill clinton, playing at the end of the clinton obama rally in new hampshire "don't stop thinking about tomorrow." a song we heard in 1992 and 1996. i heard more veteran reporters saying they had not heard that song in 10 or 12 years and they are bringing it back. you can see president obama trying to ride president clinton's coat tails. remarkable when you consider four years ago during th
or 5,000 and obama camp said he could only do, james john mccain, because e could not get the large event of people that senator obama could, and in the final weekend in cleveland, then senator obama had 80,000 people in cleveland. he is not getting anything near that in the final weekend. he had a rally in florida with a singer trying to get celebrity appeal with 20,000 people. there is a large group here still gathering and he will be here in a couple of hours in cincinnati. the ultimate...
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Nov 4, 2012
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. >> and john sununu, the inspector of john sununu said the only reason that colin powell is supporting barack obama is because he's black. the same guy who basically said he's got to learn how to be an american. very clear from the beginning what this strategy was all about. >> we know that john sununu is a vat of poison. i was here a day after reporting of 9/11. unfortunately that's not the only thing we remember about mr. giuliani. take a listen to this. >> the greatest country on earth, the greatest country in the history of the world, and our growth is at 1.2%. he should resign. >> now, we're obviously concerned for the mental health of rudy giuliani, but we also know that he loves opera and he appeared to be close to some kind of physical explosion. >> i mean, in all seriousness, though, i think that is a perfect example of why the romney team is going to lose, because the republicans are not living in the world of reality. you know, the base so hates the president with such a visceral, gutteral hatred they can't understand that most of the country likes this president, wants him
. >> and john sununu, the inspector of john sununu said the only reason that colin powell is supporting barack obama is because he's black. the same guy who basically said he's got to learn how to be an american. very clear from the beginning what this strategy was all about. >> we know that john sununu is a vat of poison. i was here a day after reporting of 9/11. unfortunately that's not the only thing we remember about mr. giuliani. take a listen to this. >> the greatest...
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Nov 4, 2012
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WBFF
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states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased with where we are in early voting. and, we believe we are -- there, too, on election day, we'll go in with a large lead. and we are very competitive in florida and they know it because they are spending a lot of time there. if they were comfortable in florida, they wouldn't be spending as much time and money as they are spending, down there today. >> chris: david, when will we kno
states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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now, we'll go to team obama in a weekend campaign blitz and the president campaigning with john melan camp in the swing staste iowa. speaking i recaller today . he jabbed governor romney's plans for the white house. >> governor romney, now is a very talented salsman, and so in this campaign he's trying hard as he can to repackage the same old ideas that didn't work and offer them up as change. >> chief white house correspondant ed henry is in dubuque, they have met both candidates today. >> and that's right. it gives you the outside influence of iowa here. romney came here to a small town in a small state and the president just wrapped up his rally and trying to turn out the vote. only six electoral votes in this state and you an idea how in the top of the ticket. they are fighting for every electorial vote each one has to get to 270 and a state like iowa could change. but the president realizes in 2008 it started here in iowa as the change agent and the new flavor and now incumbent and romney is saying he change trying to knock the president out. and the president trying to stease -
now, we'll go to team obama in a weekend campaign blitz and the president campaigning with john melan camp in the swing staste iowa. speaking i recaller today . he jabbed governor romney's plans for the white house. >> governor romney, now is a very talented salsman, and so in this campaign he's trying hard as he can to repackage the same old ideas that didn't work and offer them up as change. >> chief white house correspondant ed henry is in dubuque, they have met both candidates...
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Oct 28, 2012
10/12
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WBAL
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john kerry. whichever way the wind blows. chris: funny thing is the guy who made that wind surfing ad that's bush's advisor mark mckinnon worked also for john mccain in 2008. and here's the recycled hand he work for mccain against primary opponent mitt romney. >> mitt romney seems to change positions like the wind. he tells florida he supports the bush tax cuts. but as massachusetts governor romney refused to take a position on the bush tax cuts. where does mitt romney? whichever way the wind blows. chris: and when we come back we've got a perfect storm coming ashore. that could affect things. and we have the big jobs number coming next friday. if it's bad, could it tip the election? plus scoops and predictions right from the notebooks of these top chris: welcome back. this friday, we're going to get last unemployment report before the election. will it continue the promising trend we saw last month when the rate droppedown to 7.8%? the lowest since president obama took office. voters, optimism, favor barack obama, in the las
john kerry. whichever way the wind blows. chris: funny thing is the guy who made that wind surfing ad that's bush's advisor mark mckinnon worked also for john mccain in 2008. and here's the recycled hand he work for mccain against primary opponent mitt romney. >> mitt romney seems to change positions like the wind. he tells florida he supports the bush tax cuts. but as massachusetts governor romney refused to take a position on the bush tax cuts. where does mitt romney? whichever way the...
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john ral ston, best reporter out there, says the president will win nevada. it is not a one or two-point race. >> it has 20 t.o do with young people, nafr americans and we don't pick up the phone. if you are undersampling -- >> which is why the president made appeals. i interviewed him this morning and he was directly appealing it people to come out. let me play you a clip of what he said. >> well you know, what we are happy about is the enthusiasm we see in voters. there was a lot of talk during the course of this election is that maybe the folks who are trying to get me out of office would be more enthusiastic about the folks who want it keep me there. but i think as the campaign season unfolded and people see the stakes involved in making sure that young people can afford to go to college or medicare isn't turned in a voucher or bringing troops home from afghanistan and treating veterans with the care they dezefb or earned. when they start talking about policies to create jobs. i think people understand what stakes are. my attitude has been that if our vot
john ral ston, best reporter out there, says the president will win nevada. it is not a one or two-point race. >> it has 20 t.o do with young people, nafr americans and we don't pick up the phone. if you are undersampling -- >> which is why the president made appeals. i interviewed him this morning and he was directly appealing it people to come out. let me play you a clip of what he said. >> well you know, what we are happy about is the enthusiasm we see in voters. there was...
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Oct 27, 2012
10/12
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chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at why it is happening in this state that is so important in the pick for president. here's the main reason right here. governor romney gets the republicans. the president gets the democrats but at the moment, in our survey, the president has a narrow lead among ohio voters who define themselves as independents. that is the battleground in a big battleground state, if you win the independents you are likely to win. governor romney close but the president with an important edge among independent voters. there's also an age divide, if you look at likely voters in ohio. among voters under the age of 50, there's a big gap, 18 point lead for the president among voters under the age of 50. a smaller lead for governor romney among voters 50 and older so the republicans are withstanding the attacks on the ryan budget, th
chief national correspondent john king has some answers. >> well, anderson, that narrow ohio lead for the president is within the poll's sampling error but it is yet another poll showing the president with a small persistent lead in the state of ohio. let's take a closer look at why it is happening in this state that is so important in the pick for president. here's the main reason right here. governor romney gets the republicans. the president gets the democrats but at the moment, in our...
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Nov 3, 2012
11/12
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john nichols has the story from the badger state. listen to my radio show on sirius xm radio channel 127 monday through friday, noon to 3:00 p.m. and follow me on twitter @edshow and like the ed show on facebook. s, 43 bottles of olay total effects many birthdays later, still looks amazing. thanks to the trusted performance of olay. that's the sound of car insurance companies these days. here a cheap, there a cheap, everywhere a cheap... you get it. so, what if instead of just a cheap choice, you could make a smart choice? like, esurance for example. they were born online and built to save people money from the beginning. it's what they've always done. not just something they cheap about. that's insurance for the modern world. esurance. now backed by allstate. click or call. is a thrilling, dual-flavored ride to mouth fun-town. but it's not like everyone is going to break into a karaoke jam session. ♪ this will literally probably never happen. >>> welcome back. when faced with disasters like hurricane sandy, americans, you know, we
john nichols has the story from the badger state. listen to my radio show on sirius xm radio channel 127 monday through friday, noon to 3:00 p.m. and follow me on twitter @edshow and like the ed show on facebook. s, 43 bottles of olay total effects many birthdays later, still looks amazing. thanks to the trusted performance of olay. that's the sound of car insurance companies these days. here a cheap, there a cheap, everywhere a cheap... you get it. so, what if instead of just a cheap choice,...
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john nichols has the story from the badger state. listen to my radio show on sirius xm radio channel 127 monday through friday, noon to 3:00 p.m. and follow me on twitter @edshow and like "the ed show" on facebook. >>> welcome back. when faced with disasters like hurricane sandy, americans, you know, we always find a way to lend a hand. we're used to taking a shirt off our back for our next door neighbor, aren't we? that's just the spirit of america. that's who we are. tonight we here at nbc universal tried to do our part with the hurricane sandy coming together telethon. the hour long special was hosted by "today" show's matt lauer. and included music from new jersey natives bruce springsteen, bon jovi, long island's billy joel, and staten island-born christina aguilera. coming together to benefit the american red cross and the relief efforts for victims of the storm. nothing controversial about that whatsoever, correct? >> why the timing? why is that today? half the state of new jersey doesn't have power and can't even watch the co
john nichols has the story from the badger state. listen to my radio show on sirius xm radio channel 127 monday through friday, noon to 3:00 p.m. and follow me on twitter @edshow and like "the ed show" on facebook. >>> welcome back. when faced with disasters like hurricane sandy, americans, you know, we always find a way to lend a hand. we're used to taking a shirt off our back for our next door neighbor, aren't we? that's just the spirit of america. that's who we are....
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Nov 4, 2012
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WUSA
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. >> i was fascinated by it, john. we want to pin mort down on this. >> it was amazing, i thought, that i don't know why he even had to get into it at this time. he had plenty on his hands. he wants more money from the federal government. >> and i wonder if he wasn't influenced by the superstorm. because the climate change. up until now -- >> the mayor of new york. >> go ahead. >> the mayor of new york, climate change. the issue hasn't even come up, and now boom, this week we're focused on it. and at the same time, it brought up mitt romney's earlier statements about wanting to reorganize fema and give it to the states at a time when everybody, especially governor christie, was appreciating the centralized fema and reorganized fema under the obama administration. >> i'd like to point out that mayor bloomberg didn't say it was only on the issue of climate change. he mentioned reproductive rights and pro choice and i think there was another issue. this was a reason -- he pointed out that governor romney had taken reasona
. >> i was fascinated by it, john. we want to pin mort down on this. >> it was amazing, i thought, that i don't know why he even had to get into it at this time. he had plenty on his hands. he wants more money from the federal government. >> and i wonder if he wasn't influenced by the superstorm. because the climate change. up until now -- >> the mayor of new york. >> go ahead. >> the mayor of new york, climate change. the issue hasn't even come up, and now...
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Nov 2, 2012
11/12
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WBFF
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addits they have pooplly betrr..or at least time out aaainst the hotoo texans..on top of that, the since john am fm& harbbugh nd joe flacco joined the team in 2008, theeeareea couppe offinteresting statissics..one, ty have never lost comi off a bye ro.noen once...any kind of win streak is iipressive in the nnl, andthe to claim one.hey are fortunate - it's time to annone our higscool fek ergh brought to ou by the week annoocne our high t's time too annouune our high school game 3 et dco eek inner...brought ys pteehaspn.yo teewtba owings mills in football... thanks to everyone who vottd this week...be sure to tune in tomorrow night for the hhghlights... that'ldd it for his edition of sports unlimited...i' bruce cunningham..tuneein to tit goodnight. goodnight. 3 what if you knew heaven is real because you'd seen it. suddenly the fear was gone. i wacomforted, i had a peace and joi ner hacayod t. enreita place. he is a real person. how would it change the way you lived your life? i got fulfillment, a purpose and a destiny today. get the realtory from those that see whahappenwhen we die on the "70c
addits they have pooplly betrr..or at least time out aaainst the hotoo texans..on top of that, the since john am fm& harbbugh nd joe flacco joined the team in 2008, theeeareea couppe offinteresting statissics..one, ty have never lost comi off a bye ro.noen once...any kind of win streak is iipressive in the nnl, andthe to claim one.hey are fortunate - it's time to annone our higscool fek ergh brought to ou by the week annoocne our high t's time too annouune our high school game 3 et dco eek...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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CSPAN
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caller: i voted for john mccain. guest: there is a difference between pollsters and the republican polls. when we are wrong in our numbers, our clients lose and we do not get new clients. we are careful in how we are analyzing the survey. with the public polls, they have a different goal. the more they generate stories, the better it is. we have moved back to a 2004. so many of our stories are generated by pulling numbers as opposed to being generated by the campaign. i differ in terms of controlling on party. they do not control for party. you have seen in a short period of time, party identification jumping a good 10 points. you are generating a story rather than generating reality in terms of polling. all of the polls start coming back to the center. that is with the averaging does work. as you get closer to the election, surveys have a new ones because of the weighting on party. in 2008, we ended up with five polls that were exactly the same. guest: has citizen united affected the outcome? absolutely. it has made
caller: i voted for john mccain. guest: there is a difference between pollsters and the republican polls. when we are wrong in our numbers, our clients lose and we do not get new clients. we are careful in how we are analyzing the survey. with the public polls, they have a different goal. the more they generate stories, the better it is. we have moved back to a 2004. so many of our stories are generated by pulling numbers as opposed to being generated by the campaign. i differ in terms of...